Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.003237 0.003394 0.003554 0.003730 0.003918 0.004114 0.004332
2025-04-06 0.002963 0.003197 0.003446 0.003731 0.004050 0.004395 0.004800
2025-04-13 0.002707 0.002975 0.003267 0.003610 0.004004 0.004446 0.004980
2025-04-20 0.002583 0.002882 0.003214 0.003614 0.004086 0.004627 0.005303
2025-04-27 0.002511 0.002839 0.003211 0.003668 0.004219 0.004867 0.005697
2025-05-04 0.002400 0.002743 0.003139 0.003632 0.004237 0.004964 0.005917
2025-05-11 0.002310 0.002667 0.003082 0.003609 0.004267 0.005072 0.006151
2025-05-18 0.002228 0.002595 0.003028 0.003583 0.004288 0.005167 0.006368
2025-05-25 0.002196 0.002580 0.003040 0.003639 0.004412 0.005394 0.006766
2025-06-01 0.002134 0.002526 0.003001 0.003628 0.004447 0.005504 0.007011
2025-06-08 0.002069 0.002466 0.002951 0.003599 0.004456 0.005580 0.007209
2025-06-15 0.001996 0.002394 0.002884 0.003543 0.004427 0.005600 0.007328
2025-06-22 0.001931 0.002330 0.002825 0.003498 0.004410 0.005638 0.007476
2025-06-29 0.001890 0.002294 0.002802 0.003499 0.004456 0.005763 0.007756
2025-07-06 0.001804 0.002199 0.002698 0.003388 0.004343 0.005660 0.007692
2025-07-13 0.001770 0.002170 0.002680 0.003392 0.004389 0.005783 0.007971
2025-07-20 0.001756 0.002167 0.002695 0.003441 0.004499 0.006002 0.008407
2025-07-27 0.001711 0.002122 0.002652 0.003407 0.004490 0.006044 0.008569
2025-08-03 0.001673 0.002084 0.002619 0.003387 0.004497 0.006112 0.008774
2025-08-10 0.001636 0.002047 0.002585 0.003363 0.004500 0.006170 0.008965
2025-08-17 0.001628 0.002048 0.002604 0.003414 0.004613 0.006401 0.009452
2025-08-24 0.001598 0.002020 0.002580 0.003404 0.004634 0.006489 0.009703
2025-08-31 0.001564 0.001984 0.002546 0.003377 0.004629 0.006537 0.009886